(SUN-UK) – A NATIONAL lockdown for at least a month is the only way to save Christmas, Government scientists have warned.
Sage scientists have called for the UK to follow in the footsteps of France and Germany by enforcing a second country-wide shutdown.
They say tighter restrictions are needed for “at least a month” to save the NHS as the three-tiered system fails to drive Covid infections and deaths down.
Sage has advised that it is not too late for the Government to step in and save Christmas.
But they warned a two-week circuit breaker will no longer be enough.
Instead, they believe the data suggests every region will end up with at least Tier 3 restrictions by mid-December.
Without drastic action, their Reasonable Worst Case planning scenario suggests we we could see 85,000 deaths this winter.
One source said: “It’s definitely too late to think that the two-week circuit breaker on its own would sort this.
Back in September, at a press conference Sir Patrick Vallance, the Government’s chief scientific adviser made the grim prediction that we would see 50,000 daily cases and 200 deaths a day by mid-November.
His numbers were criticised by other scientists as “not scientifically accurate” and “implausible”.
But today, the latest update from the Office for National Statistics weekly infection survey, suggests around 51,900 new infections each day, in private homes.
Sage papers released today revealed that the group has advised Downing Street on its “reasonable worst-case scenario”.
The papers state that this scenario would see 85,000 deaths over the course of winter.
This would equate to more than 500 deaths a day.
Today, the latest figures from the Department of Health show another 274 people have lost their lives to Covid-19, while 24,405 people tested positive.
This brings the total number of cases in the UK to 989,745, and the total number of deaths from the virus to 46,229.
Advisers are also said to be pushing for the closure of pubs and the wider hospitality industry.