The strong tropical wave and accompanying area of low pressure which were being monitored over the past couple of days have been upgraded to Tropical Storm Karen by the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida.
At 5:00 a.m T.S Karen was located near 11.9N 60.2W or about 120 Mi…190 km south-east of
St. Vincent; with Maximum Sustained Winds…40 Mph…65 Km/H
Present Movement…WNW or 285 Degrees At 9 Mph…15 km/h
Minimum Central Pressure…1005 mb…29.68 inches
A turn toward the northwest is forecast to occur on Monday, followed by a turn toward the north on Tuesday. On this forecast track, Karen will move across the Windward Islands this afternoon and tonight, and emerge over the south-eastern Caribbean Sea Monday morning.
Brisk surface winds of 25 to 30 kt (45 to 55km/h) with gusts to storm force and pockets of moderate to heavy showers are anticipated with rainfall accumulations of 100 to 150mm (4 to 6 inches) and isolated higher amounts possible as the system tracks west-northwestwards into the Caribbean Sea.
The Flash-Flood Watch remains in effect. Persons living in areas prone to flooding, land-slippage or lands-slides, should take all necessary precautions…A Flash-Flood Watch means that flooding due to heavy or excessive rainfall in a short period of time (generally less than six hours) is possible within the Watch area.
Deteriorating sea-conditions are also expected with southeasterly swells of 3.0 to 4.0m (10 to 13ft). The High-Surf Advisory and Small-Craft Warning also remains in effect…
A High-Surf Advisory is issued when breaking wave action poses a threat to life and property within the surf zone. A Small-Craft Warning means in this case, that wind-speeds of 25 to 30 kt (45 to 55km/h) and or seas greater than 3m (10ft) will be affecting the marine area.
The next Advisory will be at 8 am today, Sunday, 22nd September 2019.